The story of how Nigeria’s then Central Bank
governor Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, in August 2009, shook up the local
banking establishment is well told. He bailed out five banks and
dismissed their chief executives and introduced reforms like capping the
duration a bank boss could stay in office to ten years.
But something else happened as a result of his
intervention—the centre of gravity of retail banking in Nigeria quietly
shifted. The sudden realization that some of Nigeria’s banks were
effectively insolvent triggered a kind of flight to safety. The banks
which were untouched by ‘Hurricane Sanusi’ became very safe in the eyes
of customers.
The most upwardly mobile and footloose Nigerians
bank with names like GTBank, StanbicIBTC, First Bank, Diamond Bank and
Access Bank these days. They go on holidays to Dubai, shop in London and
take their kids to Disney World in Florida now and again. Unlike, say,
the UK where the idea of travel money is cultural, Nigerians over the
years have come to rely on their debit cards anytime they are outside
Nigeria. The exchange rates are generally decent so as long as you have
naira in your linked account,it’s always more convenient to pay for
things in Debenhams with your bank card.
There’s also the coterie of Nigerians who run a
variety of web-based businesses that require them to pay for things like
server space and web hosting in Europe or America on an ongoing basis.
Many of these people use their debit cards to make payments online.
This is all well and good when it works but right now all the major banks are dealing with the same problem at the moment.
Nigeria
is running against strong economic headwinds right now with oil prices
below $40 and foreign reserves below $30 billion—enough to pay for maybe
six months of imports at most. The Central Bank governor, Godwin
Emefiele, has introduced ‘demand management’ in response to the
challenges he’s faced with. In practice, this means stifling demand for
foreign exchange by declaring certain imports unworthy of expending
Nigeria’s precious foreign reserves.
Certain things have been discouraged from importation with the country’s foreign reserves—toothpicks,
some types of steel, wheelbarrows, even Indian incense. This is
effectively a ban if the importer doesn’t already have their own foreign
currency in banks abroad or under a pillow somewhere. This has been
accompanied by nationalist rhetoric about how Nigeria shouldn’t be
importing things it can produce. If you can’t access foreign currency
through official channels, you are left with no choice but to use the
black market at much higher rates. At times, it does feel like the
Central Bank is determined to burn down the village in a bid to save it.
International nightmare
So what does this have to do with the retail
banks named above? They have been hit hard by the demand management
policy. Buying dollars from the Central Bank to settle international
payments for their customers is a nightmare these days. The banks
typically don’t have many customers who export—mirroring the wider
Nigerian economy which depends on oil for the vast majority of its forex
earnings.
All of a sudden, having so many upwardly mobile
and jet setting customers is not that much fun anymore for the banks.
Almost on a daily basis, people have been getting emails from their
banks telling them the daily or monthly or annual limit dollar spend on
their debit cards have been adjusted—almost always downwards.continue reading HERE
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